Joshua R. Goldstein

You can reach me at:

Office:
Office of Population Research
Wallace Hall, 2nd floor
Princeton University
Princeton, NJ 08544
(609) 258-5513

Fax:
(609) 258-1039

I am currently on leave at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in Rostock, Germany.

Email:
josh@princeton.edu

• New York Times piece on divorce (link)
• News Articles about Terror and Traffic Accident paper
  • New Scientist article
  • ScienceNow article
  • Princeton Weekly Bulletin article
• 2004 Scientific American article about marriage forecast paper co-authored with Catherine T. Kenney. The original paper is available below in Papers available on-line, 2001.
• USA Today article about marriage forecast paper co-authored with Catherine T. Kenney. The original paper is available below in Papers available on-line, 2001.
• Princeton press release Research on the multiple-race population of the United States and the 2000 census.

2007

• Goldstein, J.R (2007) "How Late Can First Births Be Postponed? Some Illustrative Population-level Calculations," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2006: 153-165. (pdf format).

  2006

• Goldstein, J.R. and K.W. Wachter (2006) "Relationships between Period and Cohort Life Expectancy: Gaps and Lags," Population Studies 60(3):257-269 (pdf format of pre-print version).
• Goldstein, J.R. and K. Harknett (2006) "Parenting Across Racial and Class Lines: Assortative Mating Patterns of New Parents Who are Married, Cohabiting, Dating or No Longer Romantically Involved," Social Forces 85(1):131-155. (pdf format).
• Goldstein, J.R. (2006) "Found in Translation? A Cohort Perspective on Tempo-adjusted Life Expectancy," Demographic Research 14(5):71-84. (pdf format).

  2005

• Goldstein, J.R. (2005) "How Late Can First Births Be Postponed? Some Illustrative Calculations," paper presented at Postponement of Childbearing in Europe, organized by the Vienna Institute of Demography, Universita Bocconi, Milan, and IIASA in collaboration with the Working Group on the Second Demographic Transitino in Europe of the European Association for Population Studies. (pdf format).

  2004

• Stecklov, G. and J.R. Goldstein (2004) "Terror Attacks Influence Driving Behavior in Israel," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 101(40):14551-6 (pdf format)
• Goldstein, J.R. (2004) "Simpler Probabilistic Population Forecasts: Making Scenarios Work," International Statistical Review 72(1):93-106. (abstract available)
• Lutz, W. and J.R. Goldstein (2004) "Introduction: How to Deal with Uncertainty in Population Forecasting," International Statistical Review 72(1):1-4. (abstract available)

  2003

• Goldstein, J.R., W. Lutz, and S. Scherbov (2003) "Long-Term Population Decline in Europe: The Relative Importance of Tempo Effects and Generational Length," Population and Development Review 29(4):699-707. (pdf format)
• Goldstein, J.R., W. Lutz, and M.-R. Testa (2003) "The Emergence of Sub-Replacement Fertility Ideals in Europe," Population Research and Policy Review Policy Review 22(5-6):479-496 (December). (pdf format) An earlier version was presented at the May 2003 meetings of the Population Association of America and became part of the European Demographic Research Paper series.
• Lee, R.D and J.R. Goldstein (2003) "Rescaling the Life Cycle: Longevity and Proportionality," pages 183-207 in James R. Carey and Shripad Tuljapurkar (editors) Life Span: Evolutionary, Ecological, and Demographic Perspectives A Supplement to Volume 29, 2003 of Population and Development Review. Population Council: New York. (pdf format)
• Goldstein, J.R. (2003) "Divorce," pages 265-267 in Paul Demeny and Geoffrey McNicoll (editors) Encyclopedia of Population , Volume I. Macmillan: New York.
• Goldstein, J.R. (2003) "Probabilistic Population Forecasting: An Overview," forthcoming in the proceedings of the 54th Session of the International Statistical Institute.

  2002

• Goldstein, J.R. and A.J. Morning (2002) "Back in the Box: The Dilemma of Using Multiple-Race Data for Single-Race Laws," pages 119-136 in Mary Waters and Joel Perlmann (editors), The New Race Question: How the Census Counts Multiracial Individuals. Russell Sage: New York. (No electronic copy available, but can be ordered through Russell Sage Publications ).
• Goldstein, J.R. and G. Stecklov (2002) "Long-Range Population Projections Made Simple," Population and Development Review 28(1):121-141 (pdf format)
• Goldstein, J.R. (2002) "Population Momentum for Gradual Demographic Transitions: An Alternative Approach," Demography 39(1):65-73. (pdf format)

  2001

• Goldstein, J.R. and C.T. Kenney (2001) "Marriage Delayed or Marriage Forgone? New Cohort Forecasts of First Marriage for U.S. Women," American Sociological Review 66(4):506-519. (pdf format)
• Goldstein, J.R. and K.W. Wachter (2001) "Survey-Based Stochastic Kinship Forecasting," paper presented at the General Gongress of the IUSSP, Salvador, Brazil, August 2001. (pdf format)
• Goldstein, J.R. and A. Morning (2001) "Back in the Box: The Dilemma of Using Multiple-Race Data for Single-Race Laws", paper presented at September 22-23, 2000 conference, "Multiraciality: How Will the New Census Data Be Used?" Jerome Levy Economic Institute, Bard College, Annandale-on-Hudson. (pdf format)

  2000

• Goldstein, J.R. and A. Morning (2000) "The multiple-race population of the United States: Issues and estimates", Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , May 23, 2000, 97(11):6230-6235 (pdf format)
• Goldstein, J. R. and J. R. Warren (2000) "Socioeconomic Reach and Heterogeneity in the Extended Family: Contours and Consequences," Social Science Research, 29(3):382-404 (pdf format)

  1999

• Goldstein, J. R. (1999) "The Leveling of Divorce in the United States," Demography, 36(3):409-414 (pdf format)
• Goldstein, J. R. (1999) "Kinship Networks That Cross Racial Lines: The Exception or the Rule?" Demography, 36(3):399-407 (pdf format)
• Goldstein, J. R. and Schlag W. (1999) ``Longer Life and Population Growth,'' Population and Development Review, 25(4):741-747. (pdf format -- with figures) Note: downloads of this pdf file before Sept 21, 2001 may lack figures.
• Proof accompanying Goldstein and Schlag ``Longer Life and Population Growth,'' Population and Development Review, 1999. (pdf format)

  pre-1999

• Spotlight on Heterogeneity: An Assessment of the Federal Standards for Race and Ethnicity Classification, edited by Barry Edmonston, Joshua R. Goldstein, and Juanita Tamayo Lott. National Academy of Sciences, Washington, D.C., 1996. (On-line version at National Academy Press)
• Hout, M. and J.R. Goldstein (1994) "How 4.5 Million Irish Immigrants Became 40 Million Irish Americans: Demographic and Subjective Aspects of the Ethnic Composition of White Americans," American Sociological Review, 59(1), February 1994, pages 64-82. (JSTOR versio n)

• CV